Monday, April 12, 2021

The Political Revolution of 2018 and 2020

The socialist Senator Bernard Sanders, as most of my readers probably know, called for a “political revolution.” By this he meant an uprising of young people, leftist intellectuals, and genuinely working-class people who would, by the vote, beat back the rising tide of fascism. He also hoped he could bring along the petite bourgeoisie, the upper middle class whose wealth has been so thoroughly looted by the Republican Party. And, as most of my readers probably also know, he didn’t get one. Sanders was not popular enough with enough people, young people did not turn out, the US working class, after decades of attacks on organized labor, could not turn out enough votes, and the upper middle class, covertly white supremacist, threw in its lot with the truly wealthy despite their depredations, proving that yet again that identity trumps class consciousness.

But the USA did have a political revolution after all. In response to the election of Donald Trump, a coalition of women, young people, and Blacks brought the Democratic Party into control of the House in 2018, and then the Senate and the Presidency in 2020. This was a stunning defeat for the Republican Party. It was also a defeat for the faction of the far left which rejects electoral activism.

So the counter-revolution began in the states and the courts, where the Republican Party made dozens of specious challenges to the vote. The vote was honestly counted, and even Trump-appointed judges were unwilling to overturn honestly counted votes. That strategy having failed, the Republican Party turned to outright insurrection on January 6, 2021, attempting to prevent the counting of Electoral College votes. This nearly succeeded; it came near to killing all the Senators and Representatives and all the members of the Presidential line of succession who were not loyal to Donald Trump. All that stopped the insurrection was the heroic efforts of the Capitol Police and a callout of the DC National Guard over the objections of President Trump, who sent the insurrectionists to attack Congress. Characteristically cowardly, he promised to lead them and then did not, retreating instead to watch the insurrection he incited on television.

In the aftermath of the insurrection, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi pressed to complete the counting of the Electoral College votes, which was done at 4am the following day. Joseph R. Biden, Jr. was declared President, and sworn in on January 20th, 2021.

And then the counterrevolution

Oh, you didn’t think the fascists would give up so easily, did you? Trump wants his revenge. He is all about revenge. The white supremacists want their supremacy and are willing to pursue it at the cost of everything worthwhile about the United States. The theocrats want to declare the USA a Christian nation (and then, presumably, fight among themselves over which version of Christianity.) The very rich want to be richer still.

So…

First, despite all evidence, Trump claims that he didn’t really lose. Maybe he believes it, who knows? (With someone as dishonest as Trump there is always the question of “Does he even know what truth is?”) The Völkischer Beobachter, er, Fox News supports this. The various other major US media have not made a serious effort to refute this lie. The New York Times owners and senior editorial staff seems to have quietly supported Trump all along – it is likely he could not have lasted as a real estate developer and won the Presidency without their support. Shortly after the 2020 election half of Republicans believed that Trump rightfully won and in recent polling the number is up to 60%. The belief, it appears, is persistent and strongly held.

Second, there is an attack on the vote.


“As of March 24, legislators have introduced 361 bills with restrictive provisions in 47 states. […] Five restrictive bills have already been signed into law. In addition, at least 55 restrictive bills in 24 states are moving through legislatures: 29 have passed at least one chamber, while another 26 have had some sort of committee action.” – Brennan Center, Voting Laws Roundup: March 2021.

The 2020 election, despite all calumnies, was honestly won and a stunning victory for the Democratic Party. Now the Democratic Party must work to protect the democratic republic of the United States, or that republic will be lost in four years. If the current tide of voter-suppression legislation is not stemmed, people will be kept from voting. If they vote the wrong way, the state legislatures, themselves the result of Republican gerrymanders, will simply override the popular vote, as has just been legislated in Georgia.

I want to know who the leaders of counter-revolutionary movement are. It is too organized and widespread to be accidental or spontaneous. I know a few names: the Koch Brothers, of course. Leonard A. Leo. But who else, and how is this unelected party organized? How are its leaders chosen? There is a group writing policies and checks. Who are they?

Meantime, the Senate is in its usual deadlock. In an impressive show of unity, the Senate Democrats managed to pass American Rescue Plan Act, evading the filibuster through the arcane reconciliation process, but the reconciliation process can only pass bills that may plausibly be regarded as budget-related. It would be easy for the Senate Democrats to abolish the filibuster, itself an anti-democratic thing and long a defense of scoundrels and racists, yet for some reason that no-one understands, two Democratic Senators are publicly opposed to this. The Senate Democratic majority is razor-thin and those two Senators can stop changes in the filibuster. If this Congress does not see a way to pass the For The People Act, or some similar voting rights reform bill, the 2022 and 2024 elections will be held under the new voter-suppression laws, and the Democratic Party may lose its slender majority of the Senate, and perhaps even the House, and the counter-revolution will win.

Viva La Revolución!

Strategically, it seems to me, progressives must work to defend the revolution. I cannot judge the internal politics of the Senate; I don’t know what, if anything, it will take to get Senators Sinema and Manchin to support the For The People Act, or a reintroduced John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act. But we must support those laws and hope the Senate Democratic leadership can see a way to pass them. Contact your Senators.

Support the prosecutions of Republicans. The Republican Party is amazingly corrupt. Again, contact your Senators and Representatives. If you are personally in a position to participate in this work, I hope you do so.

Donate, if you can

We also must work to hold the House and expand the Democratic Senate majority in 2022. Historically, the majority party usually loses seats in the House in off year elections. This is a strange year, and it may not happen, but that is not something to count on. So, if you have financial support to offer, donate to Keep the House Blue in '22 and Keep the Senate Blue in '22.

Marc Elias’s Democracy Docket is working to keep elections honest. They could also use some support, if you have it to offer. Other groups that pursue broader or longer-range goals are Sam Wang’s Princeton Electoral Consortium, working against gerrymandering and NYU’s Brennan Center for Justice.

1 comment:

The Blog Fodder said...

The two senatorial holdouts are doing Moscow Mitch's job for him. They, not McConnell, will be responsible for throwing 2022 back to the Republicans by preventing the legislation that the majority of Americans want. And don't hold your breath for Corporate America to stop supporting the Republicans, under the table if necessary.