Friday, February 16, 2018

Dealing with Trump

In dealing with Trump, it may help to remember that he says what will persuade, but keeps returning to his own agenda.

Do not trust his promises.

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Todays Bad News

Facebook's terrible, horrible, no good, very bad two years or, how the victimized right wing won again and Facebook made a ton of money from it. Facebook seems to have replaced television as the yuge media source not to watch if you want to be well-informed. Link.

The New York Times gives op-ed space to discredited firearms researcher and advocate John Lott. (No link. The NYT's publishers have gone fascist. F– 'em.) I like political scientist Henry Farrell's remarks on Lott:
"Why yes indeed. You could say that More Guns, Less Crime drew heated criticism. But then, you might prefer to ask why John Lott became a public laughing stock before you got into detailed back-and-forths about the econometrics. Mysteriously disappearing surveys. The wonderful Mary Rosh, a former ‘student’ of John Lott’s who went after Lott’s critics on the Internet, and gushed about [Lott] before she was revealed as a sockpuppet for John R. Lott himself. And finally, the famous lawsuit against Steven Levitt.[…]
"What we can’t check is how many specifications Lott tries and discards before coming up with those that suit his prejudices. But we can observe that he bats 1.000 in this respect. On a vast range of subjects, his econometric analyses always come up with the same conclusion: The Right is right."
And, finally, the Department of Agriculture proposes replacing SNAP, which allows desperately poor people to buy food for their families with a government-funded debit card, with a monthly box of agribusiness-selected preserved foods. "Poverty sucks," say the rich people.

Thursday, February 8, 2018

What will mass deportations be like?

So, let's say that (as seem depressingly likely) the Democrats do not successfully manage to get any form of DREAM act passed. So, what happens then?

Does Homeland Security already have a plan in place for mass deportations? How would they be implemented? What is the impact? Here's a few thoughts on the Mexicans, who are perhaps half of the DACA recipents; 345,000 people.

Some 76% of DACA recipients are from Mexico or Central America. That is perhaps a half a million people, most of them probably Mexican. Let's suppose that Homeland Security attempts to apprehend these people as their authorizations expire. Some go underground, some are apprehended and deported – to where? Mexico is a big place, and Mexico City, deep in the mountainous interior, is very different from Monterrey in the Northern border state of Nuevo León, and that, in turn is different from Mexican border cities like Tijuana and Juarez. Without family in Mexico, they likely will find their way difficult.

What happens in the USA? Undocumented Mexicans are a significant population in the USA. Does Homeland Security start running sweeps? How does their neighbors react? What is done when US citizens are swept up in this wide net?

And on, and on.

Monday, February 5, 2018

A General Reaction to the News Lately

They're all crazy! Nucking futz!

(Regular blogging will return tomorrow after this interruption.)